Trump leads Harris in battleground states

Battleground states are states that do not consistently tend to vote for candidates from either party - Republican or Democratic - and are often the states that play a decisive role in the outcome of presidential elections.

In the 2024 US presidential election, the states in this group include Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.

According to an analysis of the latest poll results conducted by the survey site RealClearPolitics.com, on average in these seven states, 48.3% of respondents are willing to support Mr. Trump, slightly higher than the 47.5% who said they would vote for Ms. Harris.

Specifically, Mr. Trump is leading Ms. Harris by 1.4 percentage points in Arizona and 1.1 percentage points in Georgia. In North Carolina, the former US President is leading Ms. Harris by 1 percentage point, in Michigan by 0.9 percentage points, in Nevada and Pennsylvania by 0.5 percentage points, and in Wisconsin by 0.1 percentage points.

This weekend, candidates are campaigning hard in Michigan, which is considered the most competitive state as polls show the two candidates are neck and neck in terms of voter support.

Mr. Trump sought support from Arab-American voters in Michigan when this group disagreed with the ruling Democratic Party's policy regarding the current war in Gaza.

To this group of voters, Mr. Trump affirmed his desire for peace in the Middle East and the leadership in Washington that contributed to achieving this goal.

Meanwhile, Ms. Harris also welcomed members of the Arab-American community to her campaign event with remarks that focused on the prospects for peace in the Middle East after news of the death of a Hamas leader, Yahya Sinwar, in an Israeli attack.

The Midwestern state has about 8.4 million voters and will give the winner 15 Electoral College votes of the 270 needed to win the election, which could be a decisive number. Mr Trump won Michigan by 11,000 votes in 2016.

In 2020, also in this state, he was defeated by his Democratic opponent, incumbent President Joe Biden, by 155,000 votes.

Nationally, Harris' lead has narrowed from about 7 percentage points in late September to about 3 percentage points, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.