Russian climatologist Alexei Kokorin said on July 2 that under the worst climate change scenario, nearly 3 billion people will have to migrate due to climate problems by the end of this century.
People wait to receive food aid in Kivu, Democratic Republic of Congo
In the best-case scenario, Mr. Kokorin said, 10% of people would have to migrate for the same reason.
Kokorin said that efforts by countries to achieve carbon neutrality would help avoid the worst-case scenario. But even if events go well, some of the world’s population will be forced to migrate due to lack of clean water.
Carbon neutrality is one of the conditions for implementing the Paris Agreement on climate change. The US and European Union (EU) member states plan to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, Russia and China by 2060, and India by 2070.
Mr Kokorin also said that Russian retirees are starting to take climate change into account when choosing where to live. He pointed to regions in Russia that are now known for their climate-friendly lifestyles. One example is people from Chukotka who used to try to move to the Krasnodar region when they retired.
In recent years, they have returned to Omsk and Novosibirsk provinces when Krasnodar became too hot for them. This shows that people have adapted their habitats to the climate.
According to Mr. Kokorin, summer temperatures in Krasnodar can rise above 40°C, a level that is harmful for older people who have lived in the North for many years.
In June, the United Nations World Meteorological Organization predicted that global temperatures could reach record highs within five years, due to greenhouse gas emissions and a shift in ocean currents from La Niña to El Niño.
According to VNA